POWER POLlT/CS AND THE TRANSIT/ON OF POWER IN NIGERIA: INTERROGATING THE DOMAIN F POLlT/CAL SCIENCE By E ONUOHAPROFESSOR BROWN PROFESSOR BROWNE ONUOHA B.Sc. (Ibadan); M.Sc., PhD (Lagos) n ~" .•• •.. ,. ii POWER POLITICS AND THE TRANSITION OF POWER IN NIGERIA: INTERROGATING THE DOMAIN OF POLITICAL SCIENCE An Inaugural Lecture of the University of Lagos Delivered on 7 April 2021 at the JF Ade-Ajayi Auditorium By PROFESSOR BROWNE ONUOHA B.Sc. (/badan); M.Sc., Ph.D (Lagos) PROFESSOR OF POLITICAL SCiENCE . Department of Political Science Faculty of Social Sciences University of Lagos iii Copyright © 2021, Browne Onuoha All righ~s reserved. No part of this .. stored In a retrieval system or tra pub~lcatl~n may be reproduced, m.eans electronic, mechanical hot~~ml~ed In any form or by any without the permission of the author. opymq, recording, or otherwise ISSN: 1119-4456 Published by University of Lagos Press and Booksho Works and Physical Planning comple~ Ltd P.O. Box 132 University of Lagos Akoka, Yaba . Lagos, Nigeria E-mail: press@unilag.edu.ng iv DEDICATION TO MY PAPA AND MAMA, MICHAEL AND JUSTtNA v PROTOCOL The Vice Chancellor Deputy Vice Chancellor (Academics & Research) Deputy Vice Chancellor (Management Services) Deputy Vice Chancellor (Development Services) The Registrar The Bursar The University Librarian The Provost, College of Medicine Dean of Social Science and Other Deans Present Members of the University Senate Head of the Department of Political Science Other Heads of Department Distinguished Academic and Professional Colleagues Distinguished Non-academic Staff (Administrative and Technical) Your Lordship (Spiritual and Temporal) Your Royal Majesties and Highnesses Dear Students Dear Family and Friends Members of the Mass Media (Press, Broadcast & Virtual) Distinguished Guests, Ladies and Gentlemen PREAMBLE My inaugural lecture interrogates a dominant, in fact, the dominant subject in my discipline, political science. The subject is POWER - state power. The purpose is to share with you my studies, researches, and knowledge gained and produced over the years about the power of the state as the most central subject in the discipline of political science. It is also to share lessons learnt, contributions made and above all offer suggestions, about the subject matter especially as it relates to our country Nigeria. Please permit me to observe that my lecture is the third inaugural lecture from the Department of Political Science since the department became independent from Business Administration (Management Sciences) 48 years ago in 1973. The first inaugural lecture was delivered by Professor Alaba Ogunsanwo in 1990; the second was by Professor Solomon Akinboye in 2013. Inaugural lecture has more than one objective. For me, it is to share with those in my discipline and others my knowledge 1 and result of findings, as a f ..also to pontificate make p~o elssor. of political science. It is knowledge production in or~ ec ~ratlon about my academic future. The word 'pontificate~~sto Im~rove. the discipline for the uniqueness of inaugural lectu u.se advisedly to express the allow interjections or interv . re .. I~~ugural lecture does not as that of the priesupastor/~~~nhs, I~IS the professor's "pulpit" mosque; though in my case Wit~ I~r "' the c~urch or Imam in a is at liberty, and that is what I shall ~IC.of s~le.nce. The lecturer and so request the Vice Chancello~ In.this Inaugural lecture; that I may so pontificate. ' Sir, to grant the liberty My scope of political science h . .state power includes the ereb In. re.la~lonto the subject of specialisation of Internatio~ul -dlsclpll.nes or areas of Administration. This is because ~a Relatlo~s and Public subject between political sci te power, IS the commonest ?isciplines on the other. Alm~~~~~1~n ?ne hand and the sub- In International Relations and P .he Issu.e~, th~mes or topics indirectly relate to state power. ubllc Administration directly or My lecture is organised into four rt . the development of political sci pa s. The first part deals with It discusses the centrality Ofence as ~n academic discipline. second section reports cases IPnOWter I.nt.the discipline. The the t' I . ransi Ion of power' d ore rea discourse of transition The thi .' an a on power, politics, and transitio~ f e third ~ectl?n ~ocuses fourth and concludin .0 power In Niqeria. The political Science to te~c~~rt examines the critical need for to reduce ignorance inacc~;:cr'leas a cdour~eof study in order and th b ' s an naivety about p ere y encourage stabilit d ower, knowledge about state ow y an dev~lopment through lessons and sUggestionsPfor fert·The conclusion also providesu ure research. Power ~nd .the Discipline of Political Science My fascination with power as a can adolescent in the seconda on~ePt began early in life as day Abia State. This was b i se 001 at Umuahia, present- science concept of power In: or~. I el"" knew the political. pa ICUar Instance, while I was 2 on a narrow street with a close friend, two women emerged from a venue where a women's association was holding a community/town development meeting. Suddenly after, another woman burst out of the same venue, and shouted at the top of her voice, ordering, indeed commanding the two women to immediately come back to the venue of the meeting. The two women looked at each other, murmured words my friend and I could not hear from our distance; and very reluctantly the two women went back to the meeting venue. This image has not left me to this day, but the scene did not make much meaning to me until a few years later at the university in the midst of introduction to political science lectures. The lectures taught me that' ... action ... contrary to one's will', and '. . . the imposition of '. . . sanctions for noncompliance', were some of the elements of power relationship. In the case reported, the woman who commanded the two to return to the meeting venue could have been an 'officer' of the women's association, conferred with power (authority) by the association. And if the two women did not return to the venue of the meeting, most likely they would have been sanctioned, in one way or the other, probably by' paying a fine. This form of relationship, particularly at the level of state organisation is the central concern of political science. The nature and form of this relationship, the way it is controlled and managed, determine development or decay in the state and society. And this is one of the reasons studying and understanding power relationships in state formation are of primary importance, and why they are of ultimate concern to political science. Defining Political Science The most ordinary definition of political science (politics) is the science that studies 'who gets what, when and how' (Lasswell: 1936). The scope provided by that definition of political science has identified the modern state as the organisation in any society, having the greatest capacity to determine "who gets what, when and now". In the same scope, political science has established that the instrument the state uses to determine who gets what, when and how is its power - the 3 state power. So, political science studies how the state uses its power to determine who gets what, when and how. Therefore, whether the emphasis is on "science" or "art" (emphasis is on both), the political science discipline accepts that "power" is the most central concept and most critical subject in political science. In fact, "power" is the subject matter of political science. From ancient times, power, the use and/or misuse of power, was what dominated Plato in his first critical work on politics, The Republic or Concerning Justice. History of Political Science Political science as a discipline like other disciplines has developed over many years. The growth may be traced to Plato (427-347 B. C.), in his work - The Republic _ Concerning Justice (Barker 1969). The Republic was all about proper knowledge and correct practice in the access, management and control of power. In other words, power was the subject matter of what was first a Course of study, POlitical SCience, put together by Plato. Although according to literature, some writings on the state and its powers had appeared in ancient writings by poets and other artists in literary works (Wallach, 2014:28-58). But Plato had the first best, logical and coherent work that was called political science. According to Ebenstein, The Republic is: The first work that deserves to be called political science in that it applied systematic reasoning and critical inquiry to political ideas and institutions ... After thousands of years, it is still matchless as an introduction to the basic issues that confront human beings as citizens. No other writer in politics has equaled Plato (427-347 BC) in combining penetrating and dial,gctical reasoning with poetic imagery and symbolism (Ebenstein 1969:2). No doubt Aristotle also made a pioneering and fundamental contribution to the birth of the diSCipline of political science. The same Ebenstein had this to say of the foundational role of Aristotle to the birth of POlitical science: 4 .. I hi\osophy, no one has In the history of pol.ltlcaen~ clopedic interest and surpassed Aristotle m. y d politics are the first . t His ethics an Thaccompllshmen '. . their respective fields. e systematic treatlse.m nd oetic imagery of the Politics lacks. t~e fire a ste~atic and analytical, and Republic. But It IS r:n~re ~~ an introductory textbook ~o after 2,300. years, It I~.s I science. It cannot be easily the entire field Of.political ht sobriety of expression, surpassed in ctarity of thoug f' openness of mind ... , range of topics, and undogma IC Ebenstein, 1969: 65). est that political scie~ce was Therefore, it is correct to sugg d of the two earliest and . . b tween the hea s . I given birth me.. . ce Plato and Anstot e. greatest minds in political sClen , . . Medieval times, and indee.d m Other works in Ancient a~d I from Plato and A.ristotle either modern times drew extensl~e l n of alternative views (Barker, in agreement or the ~resen a I~ t today may begin the study ~969). No political s~lence'stutoe~nd Aristotle, and those other of political science. Wlthou~~!a. principally because currently, ancient political thmker~. IS~s lars are still relevant today m ideas of those ancient se o. the d . g of the state and society.the or enn .. . fty what is today's political As a discipline with its ownf Idh~~~OPhYin the 16th century. It science began first as part.0 ~el 17th century in Europe, after became a taught c~urs~ l~i79 Indeed, the excitement and the French Revolution m A' t . e Tracy's (1754-1836) discourses provoked by ,. ~,~m, in the 1790s as 'sci~~ce formulation of the concept, ide g~ and German uruverslties of ideas', encouraged ~~me ~re~c with philosophy. and law to begin to teach oonucs a on (Britannica, n.d. 4). . olitical science was established m The first separate school of PLib des Sciences Politique (now 1872 in France as the ~.cole I r:ritannica, n.d. :4). The ~rst I ftute d'Etudes Polltlques) ( . . the English speakinqns I h I of political science mindependent se 00 5 w rid was set up at th C I b' . York in 1880, introduc:d ~/~h,a ~nl~ersity in the city of New the Ecole Libre in Pan Thl urgess, who studied at stablishment of the ns. IS ~as followed by the Hopkins, Princeton and ~~~~~ of polltl.cal. sci~nce in John between 1880 and 1882 T d University In quick Succession London School of E . .welve years later in 1892 the conomlcs and P IT I . England) was established and 0 f d ! onnca .Sclence (in 4; Adcock and Bevir, 2005: 1_16).x or In 1912 (Bntannica, n.d. Thereafter, Political science d rt from the 1900s. In fact, by 199~a ~ents develo~ed .unevenly and debate had begun as to w senous ~cader:n'? discussion part of political science or full ~e~~r ~UbIlCadministration was popular Woodrow Wilson debaten(S~nf~~endent discipline, the 30). 1976). Also, from that period ~~ 1~~gH~?e, 20~7: 28- subject, remained an im ort t ' s, power as a science. And according t~ sc~nI pa~ of th7 study of political from the beginnin as 0 ar~ power' had been known, politics (Dahl. 195~~ 1-2) p~eI1~mllnant.~ubject .in the field of began to grow it' eater, International relations imperialism and ~o~onfali:~bfield. ~~edless to say with introduced olitics' . ' ~~e British and the French in their cOl~nial te:~t~~~~n:se;:~;:~y/c~ll~~e~ they established Africa in the 1940s A: . n la In the 1920s and poli~ics was mostiy ~~~'Ss~~~y time, ~he Course content of institutions, constitutional d y ~f history, gov~rnmental government legislative st . eve opr:nent, functions of international relations E udies, P~bllc. administration and events later influenced thxpectedly, like In other diSCiplines, science. e course of development of political The New Orientati . P " Movement' on In ohtlcal Science - the 'Protest The Second World War, 1939-19 .. for political science. Alon wit 45, w~s .a .defln.lng moment SCiences, political sCienc~ bh other disciplines In the social approach', a 'new orientatio "ecame engrosse~. in a 'new The 'new orientation' w n t~bthe s~udy of political science. as a ehaVloural' approach which 6 made use of some of the methods of natural science in political enquiry. This new orientation, "a protest movement", was led by American scholars from University of Chicago (the Chicago School), - headed by Charles Mariam as the Pioneer Chair. Robert Dahl, one of the distinguished members of the new orientation school wrote an epitaph to what he called a successful protest (Dahl, 1968: 271-289). The new orientation rejected the 'traditional approach' hitherto in use for research, which was said to be noncompetitive, descriptive, parochial, historical, normative, static and legalistic (Macridis, 1989: 43- 46). The new orientation encouraged new methods of knowledge production, and several publications in political science. In particular, it was the efforts of the new orientation more than any other attempt that influenced the change of name of the discipline from 'politics' or government to 'political science'. Nevertheless, the "new orientation" remained particularly an American approach to the study of political science for about four decades: It was .Criticised as an American scientisrn sponsoring American ideology «Leys, 1969: 1; Adcock and Bevir 2005:1; Ake, 1979; Oyovbaire, 1983:239-254). One of the greatest contributions of the American new orientation in political Science is the comparative and interdisciplinary approach to study and research in the discipline. Today researches are in the areas of the economy, agriculture/fishery, wheat cultivation, irrigation, tax regimes, indigenisation, privatisation, gay marriage, football, insecurity, human trafficking, street trading, oil, shipping, property ownership, religion, health, etc. These are subjects which ordinarily would be considered outside the domain of political science. Indeed, today political science studies any subject under the sun, as long as such a subject has a touch of the state and government (once the powers of the state are involved). One of the issues about the discipline which the new orientation resolved was that political science was both 'art' 7 and 'science'. But one remarkable fate political science suffered at the time was that in the search for science, the discipline seemed to have lost or diminished the "art" of political science. In other words, it was in that maze chasing 'science' that the study of power, the "art" of political science, slipped, and suffered neglect; and power as a course of study seemed to have been ignored, degraded or in some cases even abandoned. Power in the Domain of Political Science However, a few political science scholars recognised the centrality of power in political science. Robert Dahl began in 1957 an attempt to study power scientifically. He attempted to quantify or measure power, wherein he employed data, statistical coefficient relationships, and graph in measuring power relationships (Dahl, 1957). In another work, which appeared as a chapter, 'Power, Influence, Authority', Dahl wrote a short but strong introductory text for both graduates and undergraduates in the study of power, first published in 1963 (Dahl, 1970). There were other works on power by political scientists in the early 1960s, following the increased use of scientific tools of analysis: Dahl (1961), Hunter (1963), Polsby (1964); most of these were American scholars and were guided by the pluralist perspective. Earlier, immediately after the Second World, Hans Morganthau (1948) did a monumental work on Power Among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace, first published in 1948, a work on the exercise and the play of ('balance' of) power among states of the international community. A scientific approach to the study of power could not be sustained. There was scepticism, as to the viability of a scientific approach to the study of power, which considered 'the whole study of power - as a bottomless swamp' (Dahl, 1957: 1). Thus, the greatest obstacle was the measurement of the nature of power; another was the unpredictability of the human nature involved in the exercise of power. These might explain the less attraction and attention given to the scientific study of power in the 1960s during the "new orientation". 8 k on power remain on the side Presen,tly,most of theffe~i:C~ :cience, that is, the 'traditional of the art element 01 P the traditional approach has the approach'. Neverthe ess, T power once more as the methods which may repo~1Ion subject matter of political science. The Anatomy of Power . borrowed from the title of(This attractive sub-heading was John Gailbrait's work, 1985). Vice cnancellor, Sir, after years of studYroluVpiesw'lnPowwh~~ha~n: . d' id als or among g , relationship a~ong ~a~~ ~ulesand binding decisions on other has the capacity to 11 as possessing the same individ.uals .and gro~~~'\ti:: if~~ere is default or disobedience capacl~ t? ~mposep This definition tries to incorporate by the individuals or grou~s. ear since the time of the diverse definitions which ~e1~~ t~ ~:~edY to the misuse of Plato. Plato's major tas~ ~~s ;ta~~} in his time. Power was an power i~ Athens (Gree I to justice and specialisation or expression an~, adhe.~~nc:;. the Republic. Plato rejected a respect t~ one s f~~1~~~~~t promote justice (Wallach, 2014 concept 0 power . hands of those who have the 31). Power shoul~ dbe Ine~~~rtise specialisation, the training knowledge, the WIS ~m, u~al life with special moral through long education, ~~m~ave acc~ss to control and todiscipline to handle power, 0 , manage power. I d of power were formulated by Our current s~u.dyand k~ow e ic~O~IOMachiavelli (1469-1527) a an Italian political the?rlst, N a e (14th to 15th centuries). product of the Renaissance .s~that created a century after Machiavelli gave power thedtwl d decisive meaning of state h te the most focuse an } th te wro '.. h reatest "transition" (of power a power which trl.gger~~t ~ g1648' the fall of the Holy Roman ever occurred In politics I~ t' the State and not to the Empire - power belongl~g 0 . Churchlthe Pope (Ebenstem, 1969. 278-286). 9 For ~achiavelli, power is an end in itself ... retention and expression of whi h - the acquisition, which guide the statesman P IC a:e the cod~~ the cannon, consideration, attribute whi~h eOw~~IS that position, capacity, course, and in successful ~a es ~hestat~sman to be on life and liberty of the coun~U~sUltof actions ~hlch will save the system of values independZ~t ~i. the ~~ateIS an autonomous the specific situation of the states any .fh er source; ... and in priority over those of ethics dman, ~ rules of power have 280-281). Machiavelli's conc~nti morajlty (Ebenstein, 1969: changed of the structure of stat!~oOnd ~nd~~we~ died, to !he and enforcement of state ,us 0 ay s notion and concept of the state power. A~d prese~tly, that notion political science. power quide, and IS the focus of Currently, our state of kId 'anatomy of power' includi~~wdel~'.and the details of the many as there are scholar e rru Ions, have come from as ~umanities and the social :~i~~e s~~olars c0':'le from both the Include Max Weber 8ert es. n no particular order, they Lasswell and Ab~aha~an~ R~ssell, Ralf Dahrendoff, Harold Morgenthau, Robert Dahl ap an, Rob~rt Michels, Hans ~Lord Acton), and many othe;sOh~ ~al~ralth, Darlberq-Acton Identify and focus on . os 0 the studies on power . some common el t relationship, authority, influence em~n s such as manipulation, persuasion Als ,for~e, dynamism, coercion, features such as types ~ate 0 ~xaml.ned a:e power's diverse complexities (Onuoha, 2011 :~~r~i1~.Imenslons, sources, and For.H~rold Lasswell, power ma be def . an individual, or group of indivi~ ~ d~flned ~s the capacity of other individuals or grou . ua s, 0 modify the conduct of (Lasswell and Kaplan 19j~. ~n5)th~ manner. he desires ... perhaps the most fundamental in t . asswell vle~s power as According to him the IT Ihe whole ofyolltlcal science. distribution, and ~xercis~o ~Ica process IS t~e shaping, availability of sanctions whe: t~o~e~....There IS also the forthcoming (Lasswell and Ka lan e In e.nded e~ects are not sanctions which differentiat p ,1976. ~5). It ISthe threat of es power from Influence in general. 10 Power is a special case of exercise of influence: it is the process of affecting others with the help of (actual or threatened) severe deprivations for nonconfonnity with the policies intended (Lasswell and Kaplan, 1976: 76). According to Lasswell, "what men seek in their political negotiations is power. .." (1976: 76). Mills (1964:171) corroborates the views of Lasswell and Kaplan, and observes that 'all politics is struggle for power; (and) the ultimate kind of power is violence.' Weber has a similar definition of power as 'the possibility of imposing ones will upon the behaviour of other persons' (Gerth and Mills 1978:80). Weber painted a picture of power as a 'war castle' which political parties build and live in, in order to win state power through elections. According to him, 'parties live in the house of power' (Gerth and Mills 1978:81). In discussing power and political parties, Robert Michels (1968:342-356) argued that political parties become oligarchic in structure and organisation in order to win state power through erections. Dahrendorf (1968: 205j introduced' another dimension of the dynamics of power when he stated that 'power always implies nonpower and therefore resistance'. According to him, 'the dialectic of power and resistance is the motive force of history ... Power produces conflict, and conflict between antagonistic interests gives lasting expression to the fundamental uncertainty of human existence .. .' (Dahrendorf 1968:227). Power underlies conflict as well as underpins class differences in every human society. Therefore, power implies an inherent imbalance. And if there is an imbalance, there will be little or no urge for those holding the power to commit to change, unless there is a meaningful threat to their control of power (Dahrendorf 1968:227,1967:17). A dreadful characterisations of power may be summed up with the concern and warning of Robert Dahl about the nature of power. According to him: 11 Nothing is more likely to lead to bad political strategies than to misunderstand 'power', to misperceive 'the power structure'; for to be misled about 'power' is to be misled about the prospects and means of stability, change, and revolution. The graveyard of history is strewn with the corpses of reformers who failed not only because of the forces arrayed against them but because the pictures in their minds about power and influence were simplistic and inaccurate (Dahl 1970:32, 15). In the same note of warning, Lord Acton cautioned against the centralising and total nature of power. This is contained in his widely quoted statement: 'power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely' (Darlberg-Acton 1988:519 - 521; Hill 2000:300-302). According to Acton, 'great men are almost always bad men, even when they exercise influence and not authority ... among all the causes which degrade and demoralise men, power is the most constant and the most active' (Darlberg-Acton 1988:519-521; Hill 2000:300-302; Dahl 1970:15). The other important consideration of power is its sources. According to Galbraith, they are three: personality, property, and organisation (John Galbraith 1985:19-25, 51-64). All of the three sources of power are interconnected, and all three find the most effective expression in the study of organisation and the state. Thus, 'the modern state unites within its structures all three sources of power ... It has manifest access to all three instruments of enforcement, and these have increased over the years in their absolute and relative importance within the formal structure of government' (Galbraith 1985:140-141). In all cases, the formal structure of government bears the mark of the structure of power. The Power structure refers to the building blocks of power, the scaffold of power, the embankment of power, from which the exercise of power is effected and sustained. The Power structure is a composite of special institutions, instruments which activate the use of 12 .' ower structure is made up of: th~ power. In Nlgerl~ the ~. . arms of government and th~lr constitution ~nd It~ provlslons~d forces and the other security institutions, including the a~m I constituencies; the states as agencies; the federal elec ora rnments as created. power created; and the local gov: of these building blocks; they structure re~e~sto an aggreg: There may be other hidden, are very difficult to chang. th e blocks and any other . h' between esunwritten relations IP~ t' the society which may on significant g~OU? or Inter~hse:ilding blocks of power. Such regular besis. mfluence 'th influence may be.' t p or groupS, WI 'other slgnlfican grou f ·t· of the particular power. t the de 1nlIon tconsidered to tmpac . N' rla there is a general bu structure. Fo~ example, t d't:~~al institution in the North, th.e significant notion that the ra I . ith the special aristocratic Caliphate/Emirate in collaboratlo; ~ the traditional monarchy, group, most of whom are drawn tr~Octureof power in Nigeria significantly influence t~;87s) In a case as this, the (Takaya and Tyoden,. ,'rtution becomes a proximate Caliphate/traditional Emirate ,lnSN\geria, In this sense, we may Part of the structure of power In t . 'In Nigeria without the t wer struc ure not talk abou ~o,' their interest group because Caliphate/Emirate ~nstltutlon an~he principal building blocks of of the enormity of Influence on power. e one way or the other affects And that type of power stru~~rloits of power. Dynamics of the power dynamiCS: the f P f the 'tsunami' which power Power refers to velocity, th~ orcedo eed the manoeuvrability h 'ght motion an speeu, , II b possesses, t e weioru. 'd'fficult to restrain especla y Y of power which mos~ ~ft~~ ISte~ except with greater power. those against whom It IS irec , and dynamics of power are As indicated above, the structu~t overnment. But in a formal interrelated with the structure d ;f a democratic order, the structure of government" :~uments of enforcement of, ~he structure of power and Inderthe control of the ruling po"tlc~1 powers of th~ st,ate, ~re u~ all the checks and balances In party, This IS In spite g11' 21), The control of power can government (Onuoha, 2 ' 13 only come about through a countering power. It is only with power that power can be put in check (Galbraith (1985:81; Darlberg-A~ton 1988:521). For the purpose of this lecture I am subsuming authority and influence into power. ' Vic~ .Chancellor, Sir, in my study of Nigeria (and Africa) and deriving from the conceptualisation and expositions of power, two result~ were recorded: firstly, because the state in Africa lacks r~latlve autonomy, state power is captured and seized by a dominant. ruling interest (Onuoha, 2011). Accordingly it becomes difficult for power to effectively check po~er beca.use the dominant interest that captures the state ensure~ ~hat It has a monopoly of state power, which since political Independe~ce ,in A!rica has been near absolute and overwhelm.lng (the wlnner-takes-all' pOlitics) (Onuoha, 2011). However, In more recent ti~es, prospects for challenges to power, though not yet effective, have been increasing with the em.ergence of democratisation processes of the 1990s in Africa (Bratton and Van de Walle 1988' Onuoha and Fadakinte2002). ' Put di~erently, as I argued, countering power with power the?retlcally presupposes that the state possesses the know~ attr~butes of 'relative autonomy', and plays the role of an arbiter among group interests within the state (Gramsci 1971' Showstac~ 1987). But Nigeria and other states in Africa lack these attnbutes (Ake 1985, 1994). The pioneer political leade!"s who struggled for political independence from the colonral masters in the 1950s and 1960s appropriated the benefi.t~ of political independ~nce, especially through the use of polltl~al power to expropriate economic resources, at the same . time deploying these resources of the state to consolidate their grip on state power. Furthermore for more ~han~ d~cade,. the late 1960s to the early 1990s, ~ost states In Africa including Nigeria were under military dictatorship so powe~.countering power could not be envisaged. Power u~der the military was near absolute (Onuona, 2011). 14 The second report of my study examined the consequence of pronounced power imbalance in Nigeri~ (and Africa) and its deconstruction through consensus. I argued that under the imbalance of power that existed, it would be misleading to begin to advocate 'consensus' in the resolution of J?Oliti~al struggle or political conflicts. This is because power I~phes inherent conflict arisinq from competition. And as reviewed above if there is imbalance, there will be little or no urge for those 'holding power to commit time to consensus building, unless there is a meaningful threat to their control of power (Dahrendorf, 1968 227; Onuoha, 2011: 20). Consensus i~ I~ss attractive because those controlling the state are beneficiaries of the present character of the state, and are aware of the enormous powers of the state under their control. Under such power imbalance, consensus will not be attractive to those in dominant control of the instruments of state power (Onuoha, 2011: 23). Thus, according to my study, 'a hidden reality is that the success of consensus arises at the point power is being lost or is slipping off those holding power. In other words, the success of consensus is an indication that those wielding power are getting weak and losing control of power, and contenders getting stronger, more confident and more daring to challenge power. At that point, in order not to lose power completely, those controlling power conceded to consensus (Onuoha, 2011: 23). As is argued later in the lecture, this was .exactly the case in 1999 when the military bloc, representing the interests of a particular power bloc, with a meaningful threat to their control of power by NADECO activities, conceded to Obasanjo being the President of Nigeria. In a detailed study of power, it is germane to observe that much earlier in the socio-economic and political development of a society, state power must have protruded from a particular hegemonic order. This means that the concept of power, state power, will be incomplete without knowledge of the root (different from the structure, but certainly shapes the structure) of power - the hegemonic basis of power. 15 Power and Hegemony The power of most old states and societies is traceable to a hegemonic order; the time when power structure began to develop. The study of hegemony may be said to have started with Antonio Gramsci (1891-1937) (1971) in his attempt to understand the resilience of capitalism in Europe in spite of the crises of capitalism between the 1920s and 1930s; and at the same time the difficulty of building socialism in the Soviet Union. Gramsci identified a stronghold that the dominant capitalist class and its fractions had on capitalism in Europe as an acceptable means and mode of social reproduction. Gramsci discovered that the monarchy, the aristocracy or the dominant capitalist class, developed an ideology of capitalism, which they imparted into the working class, who accepted and sustained the ideology. This was done in collaboration with the intellectuals, educational institutions, cultural groups, and of Course the military and the bureaucracy. These various groups turned round to defend and sustain the ideology of the dominant class .. This process _culminates in the' building of hegemony. Hegemony involves Socio-economic and political processes which create unique nationalist values through which consent to a particular mode of social reproductive relations are organised, enforced and maintained (Sassoon 1987:116). It is a manifestation of class rule, which involves intellectual and moral leadership and domination, force and consent, violence and civilisation - tactics and strategy (Sassoon 1987:110-115). Hegemony encompasses sociocultural, economic and political leadership and control. It involves all aspects of life. (Onuoha 2014:333-4) Hegemony building is an aspect of socio-political history: at a point in nation-building, the monarch, his army, his bureaucracy, the priests, intellectuals, aristocrats of the society, agree and work and live their lives under a culture of common values. Culture is very critical to building hegemony. These values get to be observed and practised in society for an appreciable time. Over time, a long time indeed, maybe centuries, members of the society cultivate these values, 16 . . t the observance of these values, accept the practice or acce~t Through all forms of crises evolving into a common cu ure. rulers ( the monarchy, his and conflicts, including war~, tt~~ tual) and the rest of the army, the ~ureaucracy, the In e ecs as 'their rules, their guide citizens, stili hold on to th~s~hv~~~s well as the guide to their to viewing t.hew~rld a~ou~ SOeCi~tyAcceptable, agreeable or ways of doinq things In t ~ . g th~ir society evolve from theworkable method of orqarusm values and their practices. . the process of observingThe citizens, the majorit~ of them, ~ trust and loyalty and these values give their monarch acts' and defends the . b se the monarc allegiance ecau. . ational development proceeds, interests of the cltlz~ns. As n. the source of the authority the citizens ac~ept wlthoutdque~tlo~ent and implementation of that is respon~lble for thb~d~~e~pas a people, their lives andthe values which now In e , their col/ectivities. . ..- ,of the social values, their . The people s acceptance creates the sovereiqnty. demonstration 'of 10y~lty.to the r~e~ent of the society, all the At a point in the contInUln11~:vO~t~e people, their culture; and values become the way 0 I.. society ideas about power, whatever idea~ a.bout org~nlslng . fro~ those commonly authority, institutions WhtlChbde~~ethe reigning idea, i.e. theshared values, coalesce 0 eco ideology. . .. I hi t hegemony is built. It isAt this point i~ soclo:~olltlca h. ItS~;:;, anthropological and socio-eco~om.I~, political, ISi~~' 'rocesses which explain indeed scientific and techn~l~g d ~olitical order in a given the root of. power, and S?CI~ea~OCio-economic and political society. This IS a staqe ~ h most of Africa could not attain development. o~ society w IC Bini empire, Oyo Empire, before colonialism. H~weveri :heels of development of their Sokoto Caliphate at ~Ifferen e~ hegemony before their societies w~re ten?l~g to~a~h: process of hegemony wasencounter with colonialism an truncated (Onuoha, 2014:333-4). 17 hu , every power began to evolve and develop from a h emonic order. And most old and stable societies have clearly identifiable hegemonic order: European states generally, United States of America; Japan, China, Russia; even most of the kingdoms in Asia have identifiable hegemonic order (Geertz, 1963). Therefore, observed from socio-political history, it may be argued that without hegemony most nation-states will find it difficult to organise and develop. It is hegemony that organises society for a 'take off to national development (Rostow, 1960). Indeed, the problems of structure of power are resolved as hegemony is being built. Thus, power is the foremost and most critical element of the society which hegemony resolves and brings up as state power. The states itself - an enigma- a most formidable organisation- is that invisible but real organisation which mediates, reconciles, acts as an umpire in the various and complex \ interests and relationships between and among groups in a particular society. A radical expression views the state as an exe~utive committee for the management of conflicts (the affairs of) among the bourgeoisie, the dominant class (Marx, 1976; Ake 1985: 9-32). The sources of power of the state include the people - the citizens; the constitution; the legislature; the judiciary, presidential orders; the military/ police/security agencies; the natural resource/the economy; science and technology. The inability of the state to mediate, reconcile or act as arbiter among the diverse interest groups in the society leads to the various forms of power struggle which bedevil nation-states. Power Struggle and Nation-building In developed societies and civilisations, all issues of the structure and distribution of power among groups in the society were significantly resolved before socio-economic development could be achieved and sustained; or they were being resolved as development was ongoing; but certainly not abandoned or ignored and unaddressed. According to Russell, "There is no hope for the world unless power can be tamed, 18 and brought into the service, not of this or that group of fanatical tyrants, but of the whole human race, white and yellow and black, fascist and communist and democrat, for science has made it inevitable that all must live or all must die" (Russell, 1948: ch.2). It is emphasised that every society must solve the issues about power in order to achieve its goals or risk failure, distortion, atrophy or total extinction (Turner 2005:1 ) The process of resolving power contestations or acceptable distribution mechanism may take generations, or indeed centuries - the British Glorious Revolution 1640; the French revolution 1779, The American Revolution 1776, Thirty years war in Europe, 1618-1648; Russian Revolution 1917, Chinese Revolution 1949; the two world wars 1914- 1919 1939 -1945; the Yoruba Wars, about 1789-1880, the Nigerian civil war, 1967-1970, African World War (Congo/ the Great Lakes of Africa), 1998-2003, were all aspects of the struggle for power; and were activities in the process of resolving the organisation of state in terms of power relationship.·' Europe is notoriously . reputed to have achieved its own through 'iron and blood'. Indeed all wars are struggle for power. And in all the conflicts, one common denominator, common issue, is state power. This is because as earlier stated, structure of power, acquisition or loss of power shapes every other trajectory of state and society. Put differently, part of the reasons Nigeria is still in a cycle of crises and conflicts is not because of ethnic divide, or tribalism. It is because of its inability to resolve power sharing formula; its inability to develop an acceptable power structure. In Nigeria, the creation of three regions in 19511 1960 (later four in 1963), the Western Region crisis 1962, the Nigerian civil war, 1967, the military coups, the creation of twelve states in 1967 and other state creation exercises thereafter, the June 12 (1993) election crisis; the agitation for resource control, and the demand for restructuring of the federation, were all directed at resolving power sharing formula. And until this is 19 ttled, stability and development will remain elusive in Nigeria. It may interest us to mention in passing that the Asiatic states settled their power structure earlier in their monarchical and collective agrarian systems before their territories were momentarily colonised by the Europeans. Most of Asia belonged to societies known to be monarchical as well as "agro-hydraulic societies" before the short-lived colonisation of their societies (Wittfogel, 1978). Their precolonial societies had fully developed structures of power; centralised, monarchical institutions of power. In their societies, hydraulic irrigation was in practice in its primitive technology, and requiring collectivisation and centralisation of power. And because no individual (or with his entire household) could provide the resources of irrigation to his household, there was the need for centralisation and collectivisation in the community. There was also the need for a strong ruler to enforce the irrigation technology guidelines and the processes to the satisfaction of the entire. farming community (WittfogeI 1978: 161-338). Remarkably, colonialism (which was not as destructive of cultures as in Africa) could not destroy the Asian culture. After independence, the Asiatic societies seamlessly went back to that structure of power out of the culture and values of "agro- hydraulic societies". The adaptation of West European democratic principles of power in the Asiatic societies, most often are at their own choices, designs and speed. The nature and structure of power of their precolonial societies, the agro-hydraulic culture, from which their ideology and exercise of power flow, are known and accepted by the people. From a careful observation, it is discovered that this background history of power, partly explain why Asiatic cultures have fewer crises and conflicts of power than Africa. Thus, unlike Africa, Asiatic countries/societies had little internal conflicts and disruptions of their societies immediately after independence (for those that were colonised) arising from power struggle. And if there were struggle or revolution like in China, the society settled 20 back to their fundamental values which protrude from their agro-hydraulic culture. This partly explains the relative sta.bility that prepared the environment for rapid and stable national development in those cultures. And this brings out clearly the relationship between power and culture. The anatomy of power, the structure of P?wer, and. the particular attitude to power are related to the part~cular SOCI~ty, which is a reflection of the culture of a particular society (Oahrendoph 1967:17; 1968:227). This aspect of cultu~e and power is what most Nigerian political leaders seem to I~nore, and to the detriment of proper judgment or understanding of power. Nigeria has no one cultural background of attitu~e to power. The three major ethnic groups, the Hausa-Fulam, the Igbo, the Yoruba, and the other nationalities, do not come fro~ the same culture of power background. This of course IS compounded by colonial politics. These are aspects of knowledge production of power which study and research ~y political science will provide and make available. But that IS until political science begins to teach and carry o.ut research on power. Aspects of teaching and researc~. Include th~ complexity and transient nature of power - trans.ltlo~ ~f p~wer, at times expressed in the metaphor of 'riding a tiger. Riding a tiger" is a way of speaking about power, a vision ~f .and access to power; often the rider may be oblivious, so obliVIOUStha~ he may not perceive that he is ending up in the mouth of the tiger - in such a case, power has transited. A word about Transition. Power Politics and Transition of Power Transition refers primarily to fundamental cha.nge in a~it.u.de, values and ethos of individuals and their coltectivities. Transition hinges upon individuals' newfou~d desires to participate in social action. It is a general design Of.~ fu~ure society ... a transition to a participant society. Transition .I~ a continuum (Onuoha, 1996; 2002:20-21). In power ~.nd POIl~ICS, transition is an irreversible change of status, condition, object, life or activity in the social system. It is a clean b~eak ~ith th.e past. In every political transition something gives: In this 21 model, power is lost or changes irretrievably. It may be recovered at another epoch, generations minimally. In such a case, it becomes yet another transition. In other words, there may be more than one transition in a society, like more than one revolution (Onuoha, 1996). Put differently, there is a chance of failure of transition. Once that is the case, it means the transition failed; and will not be discussed as transition except as failed transition. This throws up the issue of successful and unsuccessful transitions (O'Donnell and Schmitter, 1986). In my findings in "Reflections on the transition programmes" in our edited work with my good friend Dr. Fadakinte, I was of the view, which I still hold, that theoretically and empirically, no transition took place in Nigeria when the military government committed so much resources into what they called transition programme from military to civil rule, 1970 to 1999. This was a programme in which my humble self was a participant as the National Secretary of National Republican Convention (NRC), one of the political parties established by the military government 'of General Ibrahim Babangida. Whether they' were men in "khaki" or "agbada" the changes in government which occurred between 1970 and 1999 were not "transition". (Onuoha, 2002). In fact, I made that argument earlier in 1996 (Onuoha, 1996). The 'transition' were mere changes in nomenclature and personnel in government. There were no fundamental changes even with what appeared like changes in the structure of government (from parliamentary to presidential) and in the Constitution (Onuoha, 1996; 2002). Cases of Transition of Power Three cases of transition of power briefly identified immediately below, provide some sense of what may be referred to as transition of power. The First Case of Transition of Power One of the earliest recorded accounts of power struggle, and transition (of power), is contained in the Bible. Though it appears spiritual, but the Bible makes reference to power, 22 kingdom and empire. These are temporal concepts whic~ are identifiable and known to political science. The account IS the power struggle between God and Lucifer; and therefore t~e first or one of the first recorded struggles for power and ItS transition. According to John in the Revelation as contained in the Good News version of the Bible, ... war broke out in heaven. Michael and his angels fought against the dragon, who fought back with his angels; but the dragon was defeated and he and his angels were not allowed to stay in heaven any lonqer ... He was thrown down to earth: a~d all his angels with him. Then I heard a loud voice In heaven saying. "Now God's salvation has come! Now God has shown his power as king! Now his Messiah has shown his authority (Good News Bible, 12: 7-9). Revised Standard Version of the Bible has this: . ~. war arose- in heaven, Michael and his angels fighting against the dragon; and the dragon and his angels fought but they were defeated and there was no longer any place for them in heaven. And the gre~t dragon was thrown down, that ancient serp~nt, who IS called the Devil and the Satan, the deceiver of the whole world - he was thrown down to the earth, and his angels were thrown down with him. An~ I heard a loud voice in heaven saying: now the salvation and the power and the kingdom of our God, and authority of the Christ has come for the accuser of our brethren has been thrown down ... " (Rev.12: 7-10). And Jerusalem Bible has this: And now war broke out in heaven, when Michael with his angel attacked the dragon. The dragon fought back with his angels, but they were defeated and driven out of heaven. The great dragon, the primeval serpent, known as the devil or Satan, who had led all the world 23 astray, was hauled down to the earth, and his angels were hurled down with him. Then I heard a voice shout down from heaven, salvation and power and Empire forever have been won by our God, and all authority for His Christ, now that the accuser. .. has been brought down ... (Rev. 12: 7-11). The three versions of the Bible make references to salvation (political or spiritual independence or freedom); power, authority, kingdom or empire. The last four concepts, power, authority, kingdom and empire fit into our analysis about power, politics and transition of power. For a political scientist, the Bible is more than the word of God. The Bible is one of the earliest recorded political history of the people. The story of creation, the war between God and Lucifer, and all the other wars, the institution of Kings and kingdoms, the sending of prophets, the movements of the people/slavery, the building of tents and various sacrifices, the .commandment, crossing of the Red Seas, are but the political . history of the Jews, and their attempt to organise their society. And in all the activities and situations, power and politics were involved. Thus, for a political scientist, behind all the narratives and phenomena of the Jews, is the struggle for power which symbolically (some say mythically) began with God and Lucifer. In that episode, Lucifer lost power; there was transition of power. From the biblical account, power transited to the Child (King) The Christ. There were other contests of power, politics and transition contained in the Bible. The Second Case of the Transition of Power The second case of transition of power took place in the earthly kingdom: the Holy Roman Empire. In the year 800 AD, Pope Leo III resuscitated the old Roman Empire, and declared it Holy Roman Empire because of the growth and acceptance of Christianity in the Empire. The Holy Roman Empire lasted for over 800 years, about 800 AD to 1648 ending formally with the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648. At its apogee, the Holy Roman Empire consisted of a multiethnic, multilingual complex 24 of territories in present-day Western and Central Europe: France, Germany, Britain, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Poland, Holland Switzerland, and Russia. The split of the Eastern Church,' the rise of the Byzantine Empire, reduced the size and partly weakened the Holy Roman Empire. It must be mentioned that the Holy Roman Empire was the forbearer ?f the "Graeco-Roman civilisation" which produced what today IS known as 'Western civilisation" in all its aspects: culture/values, human/economic endeavours, art, education, exploration, scientific discoveries, hegemonies, a.nd of course, wars ("blood and iron"). It is a civilisation motivated by the dynamics and auspices of power - imperial and papal state power. In the Holy Roman Empire, power and leadership were hierarchical, with the Pope as the spiritual head and the Emperor as temporal head. In hierarchy, the Pope was overall and had superior powers (Ebenstein, 1969: 167-172). Though there was a college of electors of the emperor, most of whom had allegiance to the Pope; but· the Pope would accept, approve and crown the emperor. There were cases of disagreements and struggle for power between the Pope and some emperors of the Holy Roman Empire. The powers of the Pope were enormous: power of le.gislation, settlement of disputes between and among krngdoms/ sovereigns/monarchs, endorsement of treaties, religious control/enforcement of Christian morals, war and peace (the Pope had an army) over the whole Empire. The Papal Bull. of Demarcation (1493), a Decree by Pope Alexander VI, which divided the 'New World' between Spain and Portugal, though later challenged by others, was one of the . effective demonstrations of the powers of the Pope at the time. The decline of the Holy Roman Empire came through the challenges from the age of Renaissance,. indi~idual .state nationalism, and religious crises (religious schism) In particular the Christian religious Reformation in the 15th century. 25 In a series of wars that lasted thirty years (1618-1648), most of which were religious wars, alliances, counter-alliances, intrigues involving the Pope (the Papacy) France, Spain, Sweden, Britain, Germanic States, the Holy Roman Empire collapsed and lost all its powers. Transition of power took place, from the Pope to sovereign nation-states in Europe. A treaty, the Treaty of Westphalia 1648, ended the powers of the Pope over nation-states in Western Europe. In reaction to the loss of his powers, the transition of his powers, the Pope, Pope Innocent X, in an outburst, had this to say: "(The Peace of Westphalia) ... is null, void, invalid, unjust, damnable, reprobate, inane, empty of meaning and effect of all time (Holsti: 1991: 25). In spite of the outburst, transition of power took place, the Pope lost power that was never reversed. Regardless of the inadequacies of the Treaty of Westphalia, the powers of the Pope transited. The transition of power of the Holy Roman Empire was the greatest transition in modern politics. That transition of power ushered in the notion of 'nation-states' in the modern study of international relations. While the Holy Roman Empire continued to exist till 1814, all' its powers over the vast territories of Europe prior to 1648 transited to individual, sovereign nation-states (Holsti, 1992: 34-35, 38). The transition of power of the Holy Roman Empire was a tumultuous, and remarkable events that 'in the course of three most eventful centuries (1618-1814), amid so many bloody wars. .. so frequent changes of power ... amid general anarchy of all social, civil, religious, and political relations (but) no independent state was annihilated by violent means (Holsti, 1991: 83). The Third Case of the Transition of Power The third case of transition of power is the Ottoman Empire. Another great Empire, a state and a caliphate founded in the 13th century. At the height of its powers in the 16th Century, Ottoman Empire was a multinational, multilingual empire controlling most of present-day Southeast Europe, parts of Eastern and Central Europe, West Asia, and the Caucasus, North Africa and the Horn of Africa. It inhabited 32 provinces 26 and numerous vassal states (Othman Emp~re). ~ith Constantinople (present-day Istanbul/Turke~) as Its caplt~l, and control of the territory around the Mediterranean Basin, the Ottoman Empire was at the centre and control of trad,e interactions between the Eastern and Western World for SIX centuries (1448-1923). But that great empire declined and collapsed, lost its ~~wers early in the 19th century. This was a result of the ~mbltlon ,of endless acquisition of territories, and exha~stlon of Its resources and powers in military expeditions against remna~ts of the disintegrating members of the Holy Roman Empire (Wilson, 1999). The participation of the Ottoman Empire on the side of Germany during the First World war, 1914-1919, and ~he defeat of Germany at the war marked the end of the Empire. Its territories were divided between Britain and F.ran?e (the allied forces). Turkey, the only territory I~ft of the ~mplre was victorious in its war of independence against the Allle? Forces. After winning the war of independence, Tu~key abolished the Ottoman and the Empire and the Monarchy In 1923. Tod~y the narrative of the civilisation of Europe will be incomplete Without the record of the Ottoman Empire. But the power of the Ottoman Empire which bestrewed most part of prese.nt Europe, like a colossus for six centuries (~448-1923) lost Its powers: the Ottoman Imperial powers t~anslted to autonomous states and the victorious allied forces In the w~~. The powers of the almighty Ottoman Empire suffered transition and came to an end in 1923. We may add that revolutions also bring about the tr~nsition of power: Russian revolution 1917; French .revolutlon 1779. American Revolution 1786; Chinese revolution 1949. At the end of each of the revolutions, power transited to a new ,~rde.r. The revolution that brought about the new order was. politlcs In another guise. Of importance is the deqree of the I~pact on civilisations which marks every transition of ~?wer, part of which will be a function of the nature of the politics. But from 27 emerges yet another base ofthe ashes of the transiting power I e power and another power structu ( . . . of empires should also be of The agelong transitions of power" (lce more than it is presently. partic~la: interest to .pol.itical SCi~ the powers of the temporal Our .flndlngs .so far I~dlcate tha ,exity, nature and manner of empires, their dynamism, comp ,cant subjects of research for transition currently are not signif' need for greater focus, politi~al science. Th~re. ~s .a ~tudy and research on power consistency, and sustainability In 5 will assist us to understand in all shapes and form. Such focJ,4 Africa. Let us examine the the situation in Nigeria or indeeV' case of Nigeria. . . .. n of Power in Nigeria Power Politics and the Transl.t~P(1 of power there is politics. Between power and the transitic' litics is the handmaid of Politi~~ medi~~es .transition. P~/1at shapes the nature and transition. Politics IS the agent and how in the process of manner of who gets what, when;rnines the success or failure transiti?n of power. Politics dete the manner and shape of of n~~lon-states, and. therefore pens in the political space, tra~~ltlon of power. It IS what hafemPire or nation-state) that politics at the level of the state transition of power. determines the nature and form of . . tlrch and publications on Vice ..Chancellor, Sir, my .. res~ Nigeria indicate that while trans~t~on of power an~ politics 1~8ken place in 1960 when tr~nsl~lon of power ~~ght ha.ve pendent from Britain, no Nlge~l~ becam~. politically mde tace in 1979 or 1999 when transition of political power took ~ power to Nigerian elected Nigerian mi.litary handed over st~t~~39; 1996}. While power representatives (Onuoha 2002.1 ing the military transition mi~~t have changed ha~~s dLJ~ower.What took place that pOIl.tICS,there was no transition of ",er from military to elected p~~I?d was. ~ .transfer of state poG not transition of power civilian polJtlcl~ns.' and that walier discussed, theoretically, (Onu?ha 2002.21 '. 19~6). As ear ~rnental change in attitudes, transition refers primarily to a fund and their collectivities. values and ethos of individualG 28 (Onuoha, 2002:20-21; 1996: 49-52). None of these took place both in 1979 and 1999. In order words, all the activities of the military from 1970 to 1979; 1983 to 1999 called transition programmes could be events on a transition continuum. They were only transfer of power from men in "khaki" to men in "agbada". It may quickly be observed that those in "khaki" in quick succession transformed to "Agbada"; or went into coalition with those in "agbada" and accordingly reinforced the imm.edi.ate preceding structure of power in spite of apparent constitutional cha.nges to civilian rule. Such contraction or coalition will not merit the concept of transition of power. The question to raise in this lecture is: How does politics relate to transition of power, or how does politics mediate or shape transition of power, or what does politics make.?f the transitions of power? How does politics handle transl~l?n? It may be recalled, in the three earlier cases of t~ansltJon .of power, including the transition of the power of Luclf~r ~o Child Christ- God, politics failed, and war broke out; confirming war as politics in another form or war as the failure of politics. I want to report my finding of the Nigerian experience in te~s of how politics handled or shaped transition of power by asking some rhetorical questions: everything considered. ab~ut Nigeria, especially her size, ~eterogeneity, .c.ultural diversity including religion, language differences, polJtl~al ~eowaphy, varied levels of social mobility, why did the Nlgenan pioneer political leaders accept the Nigerian federal structure includin.g its constitution at independence in 1960? What was the basis of the optimism of the political leaders especially those from the South (geographical South) that at independence they would win election, control the federal government (state power) and at the same time maintain a stable democracy? Another related question: why were the political leaders from the South surprised or disappointed at the results of the elections of 1959 and 1964/65? Why the disappointment when 29 there were such a high degree of illiteracy and ignorance in the country, a situation where essentially primordial attachment explained or dictated electoral behaviour and voting patterns? I go further to ask, why did the majority North think it could sustain for a long time the power domination of the South; the South which was getting more and better educated, getting more urbanised, having higher social mobility and overall development? Those indices of modernisation and political development growing in the South at the period under review, would increase chances of resistance to hegemony and political domination by the North (Deutsch, 1961: 493-514). Nnamdi Azikiwe firstly, and Obafemi Awolowo in the second order, had sufficient knowledge of, understood and appreciated the structure, dynamics and complexities of state power, they would not have accepted the federation of 1960, even if they desired one Nigeria. In fact it was even the so called minorities who pressed for greater balance of power before independence. The colonial masters threatened that independence would be delayed if some of the political leaders insisted on the demand for the creation of more regions (O'Connell, 1970:1017) before independence. But if the Southern leaders adequately understood the structure, and dynamics of power they were going to confront, they would have preferred delay of the date of independence to accepting independence under the three regional structures at independence. With the three regional structures, the North was twice the population of the South; it had 54% of electoral seats in the parliament. Why did the Southern leaders accept the three regional arrangements with the Northern Region having a size and population larger than the other two regions put together? That arrangement gave the North greater political influence (political power) in a country where representation was tied to population (O'Connell, 1970: 1017). 'in the minds of the Southern leaders, there was the hope that once the British withdrew, they would use their control over the more developed part of the economy and their lead in manpower skills to wrest power from the North'(O'Connell, 1970: 1018). A word about the use of the North and the South in this lecture. The North in this lecture refers to the very dominant power group in the North of Nigeria, the Hausa-Fulani (the Fulani). The North excludes the area we call the Middle Belt. The South refers to the East and the West of Nigeria. The South excludes the area today referred to as the 'South- . .South'. I am not unaware of the hundreds and tens of other ethnic nationalities in both the North and the South at the period under analysis, but the political leaders from the two divides, North and South, were those involved more than 75% of the time and period under review with the critical competition and conflict in federal state power. The picture of power in the minds of the Southern leaders was simplistic and inaccurate. The Southern political leaders were naive about the power implications of the 1960 federal arrangement. Trying to explain it, O'Connell had this to say: Vice Chancellor, Sir, part of the findings of my study is a confirmation that at Nigerian independence, there was no real and active nationalist flavour, partly because of the ethnic divide among the autonomous nationalities who made up the union. The political leaders did not understand the enormity of the burden of sharing power in a divided society. And more importantly, the political leaders, especially from the South were simplistic and inaccurate about the structure and dynamics of power to think that exactly under the federal structure the British left behind in 1960, they would be able to win elections to state power (the ultimate objective of political parties), run government, and at the same time ensure democracy and stable polity. If the political leaders, especially 30 31 This was a pipe dream, and one of the greatest proofs that the Southern leaders were simplistic and inaccurate in their judgment of power. of power be respected and implemented by the colonial masters? Thus, it is curious attempting to find out why the political leaders of the South did not pay sufficient attention to knowledge and understanding about the structure and dynamics of power of Nigeria that was preparing for political independence. In fact, if the elements of power were fully recognised and appreciated, the fear of domination which would emanate from state power under the control of the North, would have driven the Southern politicians to civil unrest or even to arms to forestall the inevitable conflict and instability in the future if the federation were left in the structure of 1960 Constitution. The inevitable struggle for power and the accompanying instability could have been avoided in the first place. It may be observed that at the time, perhaps the leaders were young and inexperienced, and ill-prepared to fully understand and manage the competition for power in such a plural society like Nigeria. Also, they had no effective strategy to prevent the crises and conflicts which would attend to the imbalance of power at independence. Thus, if 'politics as a theoretical study is concerned with the relation of man, in association and competition, submission, and control, in so far as they seek, not the production and consumption of some articles but to have their way with their fellows'; and if ·... what men seek in their political negotiation is power' (Lasswell and Kaplan, 1976:75), why were' the political leaders of the South so Simplistic' 'and inaccurate .about power, the most single objective of their participation in party politics? Every activity of government under the 1960 Constitution, or any constitution for that matter, will require the application of power in one form or the other. The place of power in situations of competition and conflict within the state is familiar to scholars, power must be employed in one way or the other (Etzioni, 1970: 18). This is to say that there was no way the, .pioneer political leaders would have avoided power competition or struggle, because power appears both in competition which is inevitable in a federation and in conflict which goes with competition. Thus, power arises in political position of some kind. If we add the crises and conflicts of plural societies like Nigeria, to the competition and conflicts inherent in power, why was the issue of state power so culpably ignored by the Southern political leaders? Vice Chancellor, Sir, this lecture does not intend to suggest that power answers every political problem of Nigeria, or that every problem of Nigeria is related to power or struggle for power. But according to Etzioni, 'the realization of most societal and political goals, even in situations in which the actor's commitment and knowledge are considerable, require the application of power'. Thus 'to make power a central element of social and political analyses is not to assume that other elements are less important. But it is to emphasize that every of those goals, values and resources in the service of society must be mediated by state power (emphasis mine) (Etzioni, 1970: 18, 22). Therefore, no political leader can afford to lose attention of the ubiquity and indispensability of power or what the structure of power portends in every political activity or every political negotiation. Vice Chancellor, Sir, the attempt here is to re-emphasis the centrality of power in the Nigerian federal arrangement; and indeed in any federation at all, and express surprise that the pioneer political leaders from the South failed to recognise the central and dynamic nature of power manifest in that federal structure. In fact, one of the definitions of a federal system of government is that it is an arrangement for the balanced distribution of power among the federating units in a political system; an attempt to settle power relationship among federating units (Wheare, 1964:10). Why did the Southern political leaders not insist that the federal principle of balance 3332 And so, with such awesome exposition about the nature of power, so much dread and warning about its abuse which is prevalent, and the obvious structural imbalance of power in the Nigerian federation, why did the political leaders from the South of Nigeria, victims of power imbalance, not insist on the acceptable balanced structure of power of the federation before independence in 1960? The power distribution conferred definite power advantage to some, or did not allow even distribution of power. This is also intriguing because as I may observe, at the eve of independence, Nigerian political leaders did not have the leadership qualities of George Washington (of America), or Nehru or Gandhi (of India), Bismarck (of Germany), Ataturk (of Turkey), or even N.kru~ah of Ghana or Nyerere of Tanzania, examples of netionelists who built their nations (Onuoha, 2010). In India, for instance, Nehru told the Pakistanis that they could have their own country, if they so desired to pull out of a proposed federation of India and Pakistan. This was ~~er Nehru had considered the deep religious and cultural divide between the Indian section and the Pakistani section of the old India federation kept together by the British colonial masters. But before the Pakistanis could be allowed to go, they had fought for self-determination through every conceivable means, mass civil disobedience, boycotts, burning of government buildings, and "fasting to death" (Young, 1983: 298-301). In East African Federation/Federal of Nyasaland: made up of Nyasaland (Malawi), Northern Rhodesia (Zambia) and Southern Rhodesia (Zimbabwe), the leaders were confronted with such choice as Nigeria between 1951 and 1960, to form one country or separate and independent countries. The East African leaders insisted on long term benefits, which was to form as independent states. The federal structure that was emerging from 1950 to 1959 in Nigeria merited very serious rejection by every means, including resistance by sustained mass protests, organized by political leaders of the South because of imbalance in power structure, and attendant power domination, competition and 34 conflict which would be inevitable. This did not happen primarily because the young and inexperienced political leaders had little knowledge about the nature and structure of power, and so did not understand or appreciate the dynamics of power, and what would be their implications or manifestations after political independence. There might have been other reasons the Southern leadership accepted the structure by the British colonial masters. But the most potent according to the thesis of my lecture is the pioneer political leaders' lack of knowledge and understanding of the structure and dynamics of power The greatest challenge to the study of power and having the knowledge to resolve imbalance was the inability of the two foremost political leaders of the South, Azikiwe and Awolowo, to agree on a common interest that would guide their working together. More about Zik than Awolowo, it appeared the dictum or the principle in politics about "no permanent friend, no permanent foe, but permanent interest" did not resonate. If that age-old "principle in politics had been taken into account, the very fear of the structure and dynamics of power in the new independent country, even by 1958 when the North had got over 50% of legislative seats, would have driven Zik foremost, then" Awolowo, into working out some strategy of common interest between both of them and their followers to correct the fundamental structural defect in power distribution in the federal constitution. Unfortunately, the political history of Nigeria we know is replete with reasons the two could not agree, and common ground could not be found. But in politics, the fear of power is the beginning of wisdom. The consciousness that there is a power structure with some imbalance in its distribution will provoke fear. The fear would have been sufficient to instigate the Southern pOlitical leaders to work together to correct the imbalance. A Simplistic and inaccurate picture of power in the minds of the pioneer Southern political leaders came about because of this lack of wisdom gained from knowledge, and it is why power 35 imbalance was not resolved and is still creating instability and political disorder to this day. The other circumstances which may explain why the Southern political leaders accepted withou~ major ~e~!sta~c~. ~he structure given to them included, firstly the Initial inhibiting factors of heterogeneity of ethnic nationalities; the second, a~d very serious too, is the British divide and rule and separatist policies. The divide and rule tactics of the colonial masters ensured that Nigerians were not united, they struggled for power, and distrusted each other, and so no cohesi~e nationalist leadership. These further accentuated ethnic differences and did not allow the development of an ideology or some sense of nationalism. Indeed, from the details of colonial politics, studies of pluralism, and known national integration theories, the basis of Nigerian successful federal experiment was weak (Onuoha, 2010). . If the odds were so much against a successful experiment of Nigeria federalism' of 1960, because of power imbalance, where was the optimism of Zik, and subsequently Awolowo, for instance, that there would be stable competition for power in Nigeria after political independence? This questi~n becomes germane because by their different backgrounds Zlk, and also Awo, who had Western education must have been aware of the nature and problem of plural societies, and the difficulty of successful negotiation of power in a divided multi-ethnic federation. They also would have been aware that these differences in religion, culture, norms and values became more pronounced as the society modernised. In or~er wor~s, successful negotiation of power would be more difficult with modernisation and political development because citizens would be more conscious of the fault lines which got more pronounced (Deutsch, 1961: 493-514). Their knowledge of the divides would have led Zik in particular, 'followed by Awolowo (and other leaders of the South), to reject the federal arrangement. But they did not. As a reason, for their choices, they might have considered their times, positions 36 , and advantages in history as pioneers. Zik and Awolowo were the "new men", displacing traditional/aristocratic institutions in the South, which could have likely taken over power from the British at Nigerian independence (as was the case in the North). So, early enough, Zik and Awolowo (and other political leaders of the South) antlclpated their new role. They were certain that they had worked hard enough to inherit power. In other words, they were preoccupied with the self-interest of new positions of power in a new nation; but thoughtless about the limits of their powers under the very difficult structure of power, with a11the imbalance which the British had instituted (Onuoha, 2010: 47). Vice Chancellor, Sir, my study came to the conclusion that if Zik firstly, and Awolowo in second order, were the reigning Alaafi, Oni, Oba, Obi (or Princes of any of the thrones) who had controlled and tasted power, and superintended the affairs of the citizens of their different Kingdoms in the South, and were in the posluonto negotiate independence with the British, they would' have negotiated hard enough between 1950 and 1959 to retain their separate kingdoms. This would be their likely positions because they would have been more used to the independent exercise of power. This is regardless of the fact that they had been wearied by inter-ethnic and intertribal wars at the dawn of colonialism, and also, they had lost their kingdoms to colonialism. If those were the monarchical and/or aristocratic positions of Zik and Awolowo, they would have been more used to the exercise of power, and would not have wanted to relinquish their powers to a new central authority which would subordinate and dominate them after the departure of the colonial masters. Conversely, this position of the "new men" as political upstarts largely explains why the head of the Northern political leadership, a prince, and grandchild of Uthman Dan Fodio, a prince of "the Caliphate" itself, was less enthusiastic about a federation with the South because he appreciated the power implications. In the North, there was an established structure of power. The Emirs and traditional aristocracy retained their 37 powers under British colonial rule. Also, the literature suggests that the Aristocracy were made to understand that they would succeed the British at independence (O'Connell, 1970: 1017). The implication was that they would not have accepted a federation of Nigeria if they would be subordinated to the rule by any other nationality of the federation. And the British would have been in greater difficulty forcing the North into the federal arrangement, unlike their readiness to put the British man-of- war standing alert near the coast of Lagos when Obafemi Awolowo threatened that West Region would reject the federation if Lagos were not created part of Western Region (Ezra, 1960: 182-186, 189). badly rocked not only once, but several times. . .' (Kirk- Greene, 1971: '197), the North was still sceptical about the success of a federation of Nigeria as structured in the 1960 Constitution. The reasons for scepticism rested on the nature and exercise of power; the fear of losing power and how power might be exercised by other members of the federation. The Northern leadership, traditionally and in keeping with Royalty, was not prepared for subordinate power position in the federation. For instance, the structure of the federation, in 1960 gave room for gerrymander: the Northern region was bigger in size of population than the other two put together. The electoral constituencies were divided according to the size of the population, 54: 46 North and South ratio. This meant that even before any federal election was conducted, the result was known. Of course, electoral victory would confer state power; and every resource and value allocation in the state would depend on state power, the control of which was predictable, by the arrangeme.ntof the 1960 Constitution. ' Therefore, political leaders of the North were reluctant "federalists". When they were under British colonial pressure to federate with the South, they brought their Royalties (Emirs), or those the Emirs endorsed, to participate in colonial government preparatory to taking over federal state power. They did not bring, upstarts; or "new men". Crawford Young observed this When he remarked that confronted with a clear threat of incorporation into subordinate status to an Africanized Nigeria (hitherto, in the eyes of the Caliphate, the Nigerian federal project was subordinate to the Emirate system), the Emirate power structure recruited a political elite from within the traditional aristocracy to represent the North. The elite then mobilised the people culturally around the symbol of Islam, traditional hierarchy and speech community (Young, 1983: 301). This was confirmed by the first representatives of the North in the House of Representatives in 1946 (they had no elected members). They were the Emir of Gwandu, Emir of Kastina, Emir of Abuja, and the Atta of Igbirra (Clark, 1991: 97). This is a demonstration of knowledge and mastery of the dynamics and trajectory of power, the access, the management and control of power by the Northern political leadership. Therefore, with political power shifting to the Centre by 1960, the real levers of power were actually to be found in the North. With 54/46 majority ration, the North was structurally in control o! federal .state ~ower. Federal super-ordination, to put it differently, In practice turned out to be Northern domination ... (th.us) the undisputed fact remained; federal supremacy had shifted the balance of political power in favour of the North and NPC. So, the struggle for power was no longer competitive, ~ut su:ucturally detennined (Dudley 1966: 16-29). It is instructive to ask, were the Southern political leaders conscious of the structurally determined power arrangement? Mostly unlikely. The situation was not helped by the fact that the other two regions, the East and the West (later three regions, the Mid- West) could not form an effective alliance to check the power of the biggest unit. Partly because of the inability of Zik and Awolowo to reach understanding and work together. It was also because of other dynamics, including personal or group interests like the 'minorities', and other It is important to observe that up to 1966 when General Yakubu Gowon made the broadcast that there was no basis for Nigerian unity: that 'the base for unity is not there or is 38 39 concerns in the same power struggle. As only power could check power, and there was no other state power, except that controlled by the dominant unit, frustration set in, and conflict and instability became inevitable (Onuoha, 2010: 49). Vice Chancellor, Sir, in spite of their credible achievements for their peoples, and generously recorded in history, both Nnamdi Zik and Obafemi Awolowo at varying degrees, stand classified among those in whose minds the picture of power is "simplistic and inaccurate". From my study, it is evident neither Nnamdi Azikiwe in particular, nor Obafemi Awolowo sufficiently understood what was going to be the dynamics of the power structure of that federal arrangement in the 1960 Constitution (Onuoha, 2010: 49-50). Both Zik and Awolowo at various times between 1960 and 1966 had some bitter taste of federal state power. The one during the 1964 general election when it would have become clearer to Zik that he had no powers beyond the ceremoniat, to callthe winner of the erection (Abubakar Tafawa Balewa) to form 'a government (Onuoha, 2010:·49-50). Earlier Zik had left the Eastern Region in 1960 where he was the Premier of the Region to become Governor- General at the Centre where he had no real powers. The other, Obafemi Awolowo during his ordeal in the Western Region in 1962, where he also made the same mistake of leaving his region where he was the Premier to become Leader of the Opposition at the Federal House of Assembly where he had no powers. In that process, Awolowo lost his power base even before his ordeal in 1962 (Sklar, 1966: 118). But unlike Zik and Awolowo, Ahmadu Bello never lost sight of the Centre of power in the federal arrangement even before the Ibadan General Constitutional Conference of 1950 (Ezera, 1960: 115). At the Ibadan Conference, the North got more than half the seats in the new central legislature: the North 174, the East 74, the West 62, Lagos 3: a condition the North gave in order to be part of the federation (Ezera, 1960: 256). That secured, and understanding the structure and the 40 constellations of power, Ahmadu Bello did not leave his base in the North, because his base in the North influenced and shaped the dynamics and configurations of power at the Centre. Instead, he sent a second in position to represent his Region at the Centre, while he stayed back to guide against any crack on his hold of power in the North. Accordingly, he ensured the consolidation of his power base which was critical in maintaining control of the Centre. And because he had control of the central legislature, he subordinated the Centre to the control of the Northern and NPC (Dudley, 1966: 16-29). If Awolowo for instance, had stayed back as Premier of Western Region, the chances of the crisis in the Western Regions in 1962 would have been considerably reduced. Or the crisis would have taken a different shape which Awolowo as Premier would have been in the power position to contain. These cases expose differences in knowledge, understanding and appreciation of power, the one from the South, and the other from the North (Onuoha, :2010: 59).· . Nevertheless, the North had its own misjudgment of power. In the Indian case, it was Nehru who, having been convinced that the Muslim Society of Pakistan and Hindu India would not work a stable federation because of sharp plural divide, accepted that Pakistan could go, thus the "partition" of India in 1947 (Young, 1983: 301). The Northern Region of Nigeria at the Ibadan Conference in 1950, could have opted to go it alone as was the constant reminder during any sharp differences with the South. Access to the sea could be negotiated later in the conferences since this was an attraction to the Union (Ezera, 1960: 182-3). However, the North might have thought, in error, that taking control of half the seats of the future legislature would be sufficient to guarantee the control of state power. Events from the Tiv riots and Western Region crisis for instance, and the civil war later, all under six years of independence. show that competition and conflict in power. especially when unbalanced could be debilitating. The events also showed that quest for self-determination was 41 endle~s, especially in a deeply and culturally divided society. More Importantly, those events of self-determination indicated that control of the South by the North would involve more crisis and instability in the future because the South was getting better and more educated, more SOCially mobile and urbanized; and were made up of SOCiallyconscious "agitators" and "troublemakers" (Onuoha, 2010: 50). Such a group will not accept domination for too long, because the desire for freedom is unquenchable for a group so pOliticallyconscious. Therefore, according to my study, it was not tribalism, ethnicity, or nepotism which was creating instability and disorder. Rather, it was lack of adequate knowledge about the structure and dynamics of power, and thus the inability to resolve power distribution mechanism which have been r~spo.nsible for the other crises and conflicts bedevilling Nigeria. These have made political order and development . .unachievable. And the disabilities have been made more serious by the factthat political science as a diSCiplinehas not faugl:ttanQeducated SOCietyabout state power.. . Vice Chancellor, Sir, the creation of regions in Nigeria, military coups and counter-coups, the creation of states, the Nigerian civil war, 'June 12' 1993, the call for resource control, and the demand for restructuring, all have one thing in common. They are demands for an acceptable mechanism for the distribution of power among the federating units in Nigeria. That these calls .have remained persistent for more than half a century after Independence, is evidence that power imbalance appears a serious political tumour in Nigeria. And until a mechanism for an equitable distribution of power is brought about and instituted, Nigeria will remain terminally unstable or may evenatrophy. And this is why the Military Who are experts in military power, but creators of the most unacceptable power imbalance in Nigeria, may be considered the worst managers of state power of the federation. The military from 1966 were the reasons inequitable power distribution mechanism has persisted, and 42 destabilising Nigeria. The military, by usurpation o! state.power in 1966, by its politics, policies and programm~s, includinq the making of constitutions, exacerbated. power Imbalance, and thus created more crises and conflicts between 1979 and present than there were crisis between 1960 and 1966. Power Politics and Transition of Power in Nigeria: Military Aftermath 1 . . I The control of state power after the military coup, mlllta~ ru e and the civil war, 1966-1979 and 1983-1999,.f!1ayco~vement!y be broken into two - the long period of military dlctat~r~~lp the military bloc), 1966-1979 and 1983 -1999; a~.d CIVIlian ~ule 1979-1983 and 1999 to present. Under the milItary bloc, stat~ power was concentrated at the Centre and under .,-:",hat could be referred to as military central command. That r:nllltary was under the control of the North except the short periods of Major General Aguiyi Ironsi, January-July 1966, and Gene~al Olusegun Obasanjo July 1975-September 1979. Under t e civilian politicians, the cqncentratio~ ~f po~e~ ~t the Centre by . the Constitufionsrirawn by the military. m~lblted th~ proper functioning of federalism. The constl~utl~ns denied the federating units autonomy and selt-determination. Vice Chancellor, Sir, the events that led to. the military takeover of state power in 1966 were inherent m.the.federal Constitution of 1960. By that structure of po~er,. Nigeria could not have escaped the competition and confll~t m power from 1960 to 1966 which ended in a military coup m January 19~6. And while th~ power struggle amon~ the politician~ wa~ ~omg on the political leaders did not seriously and natlonal.lstlca.lly endeavour to genuinely correct the power i.mba!ance,m spite of the creation of the Mid-Western Region In 1963. The attention of the political leaders was to outsmart or out manoeuver each other in the struggle for cont.rolof powe~.The struggle was not necessarily to correct the Imba.lanc.e.m the power structure. This was another instance of a ~~mpllstlcand inaccurate picture of power in the minds of political le~d~rs, especially those from the South who evidently were the victims of power imbalance. 43 It is.impo.rtantto add that power domination was real within the reqrons, Internal to the regions, especially in the East and the North after t~e c~eation of Mid-Western Region from the Western Reqion In 1963. This was part of the original we~kness of the 1960 federation which the minorities fought agalns~e~en be~~reIndependence, as recorded by the Willink CommIssIon (Wllllnk Commission Report, 1958). The political leaders of the So~th, the East Region in particular, did not un~erstand tha.t In. p~wer considerations, creating more reqions at ~hattIme In history of Nigeria, like was done in the West Repion was directly enhancing and protecting the ~uto.no~y of all the ot~er regions. However, the larger Impllcatlo~s of the power Imbalance in the federation vis-a-vis the F~lan~.and others was not clear or properly understood by t~~ mmormos who largely.and committedly fought the Nigerian cIvIl war, 1967-1970 which was essentially war to balance power, as fully demonstr~ted. in the 'Aburi Accord' (in Ghana, 1967) betwe~n the Nlgenan Military Government and Odumegwu OJ~kwuwho represented Biafra. Perhaps in a way to correct the. imbalance, after the fall of the First Republic in . 1966,. the. military created states in 1967, and other such exercises In 1976, 1987, 199~, 1992 an? 1995. But the irony ~as that each state creation exercise introduced more Imbalance by centralising more powers. More centralisation reduced furth.er th~. powers of the federating units, and w~akened th.elrparticipanon as viable members of the federal u~l?n. C~rtalnly, the federating units were weaker under the military since 1999 than they were between 1960 and 1966. In my ~ork of 2015, I identified the regional powers that were centralised by the militray. The powers included legislative powers over matters, and the powers to appropriate economic resou~ce~ and revenues, that is fiscal autonomy (1960 Constitutlon, The Schedule, Part 11: The Concurrent Lists) (Onuoha, 2015: 76-77). Furthermore, while the Executive List reserved for the Centre in the 1960 Constitution had 44 items the Con~urrent.List had 28. The 1960 Constitution also had the R.esl.dualLIst exercised by the Regions. The Nigerian Constttutlon 1979 was more or less the same as the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic. The Federal Government of 1979 lasted only four years, overthrown on December 31st 1983. Also in the 1999 Constitution, the Central Government controls virtually all the legislative powers, 68 of them contained in the Exclusive List, while the States take part only in 12 items under which the Centre also legislates; and in which the Centre has overriding powers in cases of inconsistency (1999 Constitution of Nigeria). Significantly, in the Constitution of 1999, the power to allocate fiscal resources is wholly vested in the federal government through the Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (1999 Constitution, Third Schedule, Part 1, N.). The Commission is a Federal Executive Body appointed by and responsible to the Central Government. One of the key functions is to review, from time to time, the revenue allocation formula, and the principles in operation to ensure conformity with changing realities (1999 Constitution, Third Schedule, Part 1, N. Sec. 32 b). In addition, the Federal Government maintains other accounts in which state governments have no part; or allocations are at the pleasure of the Central Government. These include consolidated funds, that is, funds of the federation, subaccounts or special funds accounts which include funds like the national wealth fund, ecological fund, the petroleum trust fund and the educational trust fund. These are funds which only the Centre has powers to expend or allocate. These further confer disproportionate powers on the Centre against the federating states. With these exclusive accounts, the Centre can allocate resources, values and patronages as it pleases (Onuoha, 2015: 76-77). According to the observation made in my study, the implication of the exclusive accounts is that power to allocate resources is no longer coordinate as in federation; instead, the Central Government has disproportionate control over national resources; and this is at a time derivation principle gave the federating units only 13% as opposed to 50% in 1960-1966. 44 45 · Also o! greater co~cern t? the elements of 'federal spirit' was that. this fiscal policy, which was unitary in nature and under the Influence of the military rule, got entrenched in the 1979 and 1999 Constitutio~s .. Also I observed also that another aspect of overcentralizatlon of state power which frustrated many of th? federating units was the fact that the Federal Centre, which had. all the power, was most of the time co~t~olled by a faction of a dominant group in Nigeria whose policles and ?ro~rammes intensified structural imbalance of · power; includinq In the attempt to take over local government · by the 1976 local government refonn. (Onuoha, 2015: 77). Powe~~nthe Creation of Local Government In addition to overcentralisation of powers in the Constitutions of 1999, the Central Government took over legislation for local go~ernments (reform/creation of local governments in 1976). ThIs was ~ne of t~e strongest indications of the centralization of po.wers In the ~Igerian federation. It is important to observe thatl~ a federation, the creation of local government is an exercise :of power. The debate in Nigerian federalism is whether the Central Government has powers to legislate on 10c?1~overnment in any form, whether in their creation legIslatIon or administration. ' The reform of the local government system became entrenched in both the 1979 and 1999 Constitutions (as amended). Th!s reform and the subsequent creation of local governments IS an aspect of centralisation of power which state governments have contested since 1979 (Onuoha 2016) .•Many of the state governments, especially those i~ opposition to the party at the Centre, created their own local ~oyer.n~ents and/or challenged in Court of competent jurisdiction the Federal Government reform of the local government of 1976. Some of the states created what they referred ~o ~s Local Council Development Areas (LCDA); a subtle re~ectlon of military government usurpation of laws on the creation and administration of the local government system from the State governments. On the whole, with the 46 centralisation of 774 local governments, there are 412 (418 with Abuja) in the North and 355 in the South. (Onuoha, 2016). It must be emphasized that the reform and creation of local governments since 1976 has been by military fiat; and in violation of the principles of federalism. If Nigerian political scientists were conscious of the dynamics of power, knowledgeable about the nature of power, no political scientist would sit on a military government panel to recommend that in the federation of Nigeria, the Central Government should create local governments. Local government is an entity of power belonging to the federating units. Thus, in political science, we cannot be demanding 'fiscal federalism', 'true federalism', 'restructuring of the federation', and at the same time supporting the central government taking over the creation of and legislation over local government in any guise. The last local government creation was under the military Government of General Sani Abacha in 1996. A very sticky question has remained since the Federal Military Government creation of local government in 1976; a question to which no satisfactory answer has been provided: it is about the disparity between Lagos and Kano. Lagos is 14 million in population with 20 local governments; Kano is 12 million in population with 44 local governments (1999 Constitution). How does the Federal Government explain or defend the disparity and inequity in the cases of Lagos and Kano? Also, the parameters used in the creation of local governments was never negotiated with other groups or interests in the federation. Also, note must be taken that the local government system currently is constitutionally a factor in the allocation of federal resources. In that respect, there is further institution of imbalance of power. Accordingly, because of the imbalance in the local government structure, the present local government system is a substantial resource disadvantage to many units of the federation. The reform was an exercise of power by the military bloc. And the military bloc itself was a centralised organisation well-known 47 for its command structures which was not appropriate for a federation and democratic practice. which was not the case between 1960 and 66. So the power imbalance presently is further exacerbated. The lesson. of power, and my emphasis is to expose the extent to which federal state power can be deployed by the Central Government by usurping the power to create the local government. When Nigerians agitate for the autonomy of local governments, according to the reform of 1976, or when th~re is a call for the creation of more local governments, according to the reform of 1976, how many political leaders, particularly from the South recognise the problem of further power imbalance